A Bettor World

Betting Exchange Strategies for American Football

  • Nov 24

    Top NCAA Selections:
    Nevada +1.5
    UAB -5
    North Carolina State -11.5

    Other NCAA Selections:
    Western Michigan -27
    Houston -3
    Arkansas +12
    Michigan -7
    Tennessee -7
    Alabama -21
    UL-Lafayette +14

    NFL Sides:
    Houston -3.5
    Chicago +4
    New England  -3

    NFL Totals:
    Cleveland/Cincinnati Under 37.5
    Houston/Jacksonville Under 37.5
    Washington/Seattle Under 37.5

     

  • Nov 5

    Sides:
    None

    Totals:
    Cleveland/Houston Under 41
    San Francisco/Washington Under 37.5
    Tennessee/Cincinnati Under 42

    Teaser:
    Atlanta -0.5
    New Orleans -3
    Oakland -1

     

  • Oct 22

    Side:
    Chicago -1

    Totals:
    Seattle/Cleveland Under 41

    Teaser:
    Green bay -3
    Baltimore -3

  • Oct 9

    Narrative of sides and totals follows selection summary:

    Sides
    Minnesota -3
    Philadelphia -2.5
    Cincinnati -1
    San Diego -3.5

    Totals
    Cincinnati/Jacksonville Under 37
    Tampa Bay/San Francisco Under 41.5

    Five -Team, 6.5-Point Teaser
    Houston +1.5
    New Orleans even
    New York Giants -3
    New England -1
    Green Bay +1

    Sides
    Minnesota -3
    The Vikings have led in every game only to blow double-digit leads in their first three games and a four-point lead to the lowly Chiefs.  Returning home this week, the Vikings should run the ball well and set up McNabb for some deep throws against the Cardinals weak secondary.  The Vikings defense is better than their stats.  The Vikings are better than their record and that provides value.
    Philadelphia -2.5
    Home field advantage is not all it is cracked up to be when your team is struggling, so expect the Eagles to enjoy being back on the road.  Much has been made of their three game losing streak, but they clearly outplayed the 49ers last week losing due to missing two  short field goals and a turnover as they were driving for a late lead.  They were also out playing the Falcons until Vick was injured.

    If the Bills can not muster a pass rush, the Eagles speedy receivers will torch them.  The Bills only faced too high-powered offenses and both scored 31 or more points.

    The Bills may have some success running against this Eagle defense, but they may have difficulty passing against Philadelphia’s defensive backs.  If the  Eagles scan score early it could take the Bills focus off their rushing advantage.

    The Eagles know they will have to return to an unpleasant media environment if they lose, so expect them to play their best game of the year.  The Eagles 1-3 record provides value for a team that has played better than its record while the Bills are still over-valued because of their comeback against the Patriots.

    Cincinnati -1
    The Bengals have flown under the radar as they have an under-rated defense that shut down the high-flying Bills offense last week..  Jag qb has raw talent, but he is obviously still in the learnings stages of being an NFL field general.  If the Bills had great difficulty facing this Bengal defense last week, so you should not expect a Jag team that has scored a TOTAL of 23 points in their last three games to find the end zone more than once.   The Jags need a strong running game to win, which is not likely to come against the Bengals. While Gabbert has received little help from his wideouts, Green has stepped up for Dalton which gives the Bengals the ability to hit a big play.   The Bengals are can move the chains well enough to win this low scoring, field position game.

    San Diego -3.5
    The Chargers have both top 10 offensive and defensive teams while Denver has talent issues throughout their roster.  The Broncos have not run the ball well and likely won’t do so against the Chargers.  The Chargers will feast on a one-dimensional attack, forcing some key turnovers.  The Chargers are showing more balance and have a history of blowing out the Broncos, but will win this one by taking better care of the ball and hitting enough big plays to cover.

    Totals
    Cincinnati/Jacksonville Under 37:
    All of Jacksonville’s games have gone under the total and all have had less than 37 points scored.  Cincinnati has a good defense and likes to run the ball, so should compliment Jacksonville well in establishing a short, low scoring game.  The Bengals last two games have gone under the total while their first game with Cleveland was looking like an easy under until Cleveland fell asleep on a play late in the game.  The most common score in the NFL since 1994 is 37, so do not be scared by the low total, but certainly do not accept 36.5.

    Tampa Bay/San Francisco Under 41.5
    Tampa and San Francisco both like to play good defense and play a field position game. Tampa’s last two games have been under 41.5 points.  San Francisco has been in some higher scoring games due to late scores in their Dallas and Philly games.  Their high totals average provide value.  The median NFL score is 41, so shop for 41.5 points to go under.

  • Sep 25

    Sides:
    Miami +1
    Baltimore -4.5

    Totals:
    Miami/Cleveland Under 41.5
    San Francisco/Cincinnati under 40

    2 Team Teaser
    New England -1
    Atlanta +7