Both the Houston Texans (-2.5) and the New Orleans Saints (-10.5)both overcame early touchdown deficits to come back and cover, although they do so in very different fashion.
The Texans overcame Bengal leads of 7-0 and 10-7 to tie the game twice in the first half. These deficits provided either an opportunity for early Bengals backers to take a small profit or enable an entry on the Texans from the long side.
Then with less than a minute to play in the first half, Texan defensive lineman JJ Watt snatched an Andy Dalton pass at the line of scrimmage and returned it for a touchdown that gave them a 17-01 lead.
In the second half, the Texans held the Bengals offense in check while the offense provided two additional touchdowns to put the game away.
In the evening game, the Lions (+10.5) jumped out to a touchdown lead on the game’s first possession. This provided a great opportunity to enter the Saints with long odds even though they were 17.5 points behind the spread.
This trade started out well as the Saints marched down the field only to fumble the ball away.
Fortunately , the Saints defense stepped up and forced a punt to allow the Saints offense to tie the game. At this point, one could have put some green on the screen or hope the Saints could go into the half tied and then take the lead in to start the third.
The Lions the took another seven point lead. The Saints responded with another good drive only to have the Lions force a Dew Brees fumble.
Again the Saints defense steeped up to allow their offense to tie the game before the half. it looked as if the Saints had tied the game only to the play correctly reversed by replay causing the Saints to settle for three points.
This put Saints backers in a tough spot. Although they were starting the second half with the ball, they were still 14.5 points behind the spread.
The way the Saints were moving the ball, it would be best to see if hey let could take the lead. With many teams, one would just want to keep their losses small, but with the Saints and Packers, it is a different story.
The Saint responded by scoring a touchdown on a their first five drives. Given the Lions ability also move the ball, it was best to green up once the Saints took a ten point lead.
After the Lions cut the lead to three points, it provided an opportunity to take a small stake on the Saints at long odds. The Saints once again took a ten point lead which again provided another chance to green up.
The Saints then intercepted a pass to allow the offense to finally cross the spread with a 17 point lead. If one still had not greened up on the Saints, they may have had some worry as the Lions cut the lead again to cut the lead to ten. At this point, most teams would have tried to just run clock and not cover, but not the Saints. The Saints surprised the Lions by throwing deep to set up another spread covering touchdown.
The Lions still had plenty of time to cover, so one should at the very least removed their risk if they were still sitting with large red positions if the Lions covered. Fortunately for those stacking green numbers on the Saints, New Orleans intercepted another pass to provide a chance to run out the clock, which Drew Brees did, kneeling out the clock rather than running up the score.